Analysts ranked by what holds up when the regime gets hostile.
A 70% hit-rate in NORMAL VIX is easy. The number that matters is what happens in ELEVATED VIX — when sector flow is negative and gamma flips. We surface both columns so you can see who actually holds up versus who got lucky in a bull market.
| # | Analyst | Credibility (adj) | Helped % | Hostile-VIX % | Streak / Trend | Calls | Followers | Concentration |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.83 | 71%n=38 | 48%n=31 | 2W | 84 | 8.2K | Diversified | |
| 2 | 0.70 | 62%n=42 | 58%n=38 | 1L | 112 | 12.4K | Moderate | |
| 3 | 0.55raw 0.62 ↓11% | 61%n=28 | 50%n=14 | 1L | 56 | 31.0K | Concentrated | |
| 4 | 0.55 | 54%n=96 | 51%n=72 | 1W | 248 | 480.0K | Diversified | |
| 5 | 0.34 | 32%n=126 | 38%n=82 | 6L | 320 | 1.7M | Diversified |
Credibility (adj) is raw engine credibility shrunk by ticker-concentration (HHI) — a diversified call book is harder to luck into than five $NVDA calls. Honesty tier reflects sample size: Observational (<5), Provisional (5-11), Scored (12-29), Established (30+). Streak/Trend shows current win/loss run + last-5 vs prior-5 momentum (needs 10+ closed outcomes). Seed data — live rankings begin M2.
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